InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position Survey

Chambliss 50%, Martin 46%

(12/1/08) The latest InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position survey in the Georgia U.S. Senate race - conducted for WSB-TV (ABC-Atlanta) and Southern Political Report - shows incumbent Senator Saxby Chambliss leading Democratic challenger Jim Martin by a four point margin.

The results:

Chambliss, 50%
Martin, 46%
Undecided, 4%

The poll was conducted Nov. 30 among 744 registered, likely voters, and was weighted for age, race, gender and political affiliation. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery, whose new book - Paranoid Nation: The Real Story Of The 2008 Fight For The Presidency - hits bookstores late next week, observed:

“This is a race that is much more about turning out the vote than it is winning over undecided voters. Anyone who participates in the election Tuesday likely had a choice in November’s election. The race will turn on whether the tradition of Republicans returning to the polls in greater numbers than Democrats in runoff elections will prevail or whether the almost 1 million automated phone calls by Barack Obama to African-American and longtime Democratic voters will somehow motivate Democrats to return to the polls in greater numbers.

“The race could be a 10- point blowout for Chambliss, or under the right circumstances, a very tight contest. This is like trying to forecast snow in Georgia—almost impossible.”

Ironically, light snow was falling in portions of the Peach State today.