IA Poll: Norwood At 45 Percent; Reed, 25 Percent

(10/30/09) Mary Norwood's lead in the Atlanta mayor's race has moved to 45 percent with Kasim Reed at 25 percent, a new InsiderAdvantage / WSB-TV poll shows.

If the race for the next mayor of Atlanta’s were held today, who would you vote for?

Mary Norwood: 45%
Kasim Reed: 25%
Lisa Borders: 16%
Jesse Spikes: 2%
Other: 1%
Undecided: 11%

The poll was conducted Oct. 29 among 704 registered voters in Atlanta. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.6%. The data have been weighted for age, race, gender and political affiliation.

Analysis from Matt Towery, CEO of InsiderAdvantage:

“Based on this survey, if the election were held today, Norwood would likely be within one or two percent of winning the race without a runoff. Her barrage of ads and the apparent decline in Borders’ support suggests that white voters are moving to Norwood. That said, Reed now appears to be the African-American candidate with substantial support from the black community.

“I have not seen the content of the TV ad that Norwood will run in the remaining days of the campaign. If the ad causes those African-American voters who currently support her consistently in our surveys to get cold feet about voting for a white city councilwoman, then her own advertising could have a reverse effect and push Norwood into a runoff. On the other hand, if Norwood’s advertising somehow manages to hold onto black voters, the race could be over on Tuesday,” said Towery.

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