On Background:
Advocates Readying Big Push For Ultimate
Abortion Legislation In Georgia
By Dick Pettys
InsiderAdvantage Georgia
(10/15/07) Coalitions are funny things. Sometimes you see them
joined at the hip and sometimes you see them ripped apart. And at
various times coalitions have been as much a blessing as a curse
to both parties in Georgia.
When they were in power, Democrats notably had trouble keeping
their bi-racial coalition together over redistricting. A special
session in the mid-1990s became a classic case study when the coalitions
changed at such a dizzying rate it was difficult to keep track.
First, black Democrats bolted the coalition and teamed with white
Republicans to defeat one proposed congressional plan in the Senate.
Later the same day, white Democrats teamed with white Republicans
against black Democrats to pass a second plan.
Famously, Rep. Tyrone Brooks, D-Atlanta, was quoted as saying:
“We have no permanent friends and no permanent enemies. We
only have permanent interests.”
But Republicans have their problems, too. At first, they wanted
no part of the religious right; even fought to keep that group out
in a 1988 battle that went all the way to the national convention.
Then, they saw they’d do much better trying to adjust to and
absorb the newcomers. And pretty much that’s what they’ve
done.
But just as Democrats couldn’t always count on blacks to
stay on the same page with them, Republicans on occasion have problems
with their new allies, especially when it comes to one of their
core issues - abortion.
At a national level, we’re seeing some of those problems
out in the open now. At a recent meeting in Salt Lake City for several
score Christian conservative leaders, a decision was reached to
bolt the GOP in the presidential election next year if pro-choice
Rudy Giuliani tops the ticket.
Closer to home, we could see some fireworks as well come January
as a result of HR 536, also known as the Human Life Amendment.
It’s a proposed constitutional amendment that would say this:
(a)
The rights of every person shall be recognized, among which in the
first place is the inviolable right of every innocent human being
to life. The right to life is the paramount and most fundamental
right of a person.
(b)
With respect to the fundamental and inalienable rights of all persons
guaranteed in this Constitution, the word 'person' applies to all
human beings, irrespective of age, race, sex, health, function,
or condition of dependency, including unborn children at every state
of their biological development, including fertilization."
It was introduced last March 20 by Rep. Martin Scott, a second
term Republican from Rossville, who says he’s lined up 40
cosponsors. It was assigned to the House Judiciary Committee.
Watch for a big push on this bill when the Legislature comes to
town already facing enough big issues to keep it plenty busy. So
far, the agenda includes House Speaker Glenn Richardson’s
“GREAT” tax plan to eliminate property taxes in favor
of a broadened sales tax; a renewal of the huge battle over workplace
guns between the National Rifle Association and the Georgia Chamber
of Commerce, and the statewide water plan.
Plus, it’s an election-year session, which always makes things
a little more dicey.
Scott toured the state last summer on what he called his “Let
Them Live” bus tour, drumming up support for the measure.
The proposal has the backing of Georgia Right to Life. Also, we’re
hearing that calls are now being made to some legislators. So there
will be pressure building come January, and more as the month progresses.
Dan Becker, incoming president of Georgia Right to Life, is planning
two major events at the statehouse that month. One is the traditional
Right to Life rally on Jan. 22. The other, on Jan. 14, will be a
training session for grassroots lobbyists on this issue.
"Our objective is to make this one of the most intensive lobbying
sessions we've seen in recent history," he said.
Not everyone in the pro-life movement nationally thinks the timing
is right for such a measure which, should it pass the Legislature
and win voter approval, could well provide the means for a major
showdown over abortion in the U.S. Supreme Court.
Some fear it is premature for such a test case, given the current
makeup of the court, and that a new test of Roe v. Wade might result
in a setback to the pro-life movement. Others, obviously, are willing
to risk that on one big play.
But there are any number of reasons this legislation probably won’t
reach a vote in the GOP-controlled Georgia House.
Here are a few:
* A number of key Republican incumbents live in districts that
aren’t securely in GOP hands. If they vote “for”
the amendment, they’re in trouble in the general election.
If they vote “against” the amendment, they are likely
to face primary opposition. It’s far better for them not to
have to face that choice.
* When the session is over, Republican leaders want to be able
to say either “We cut your taxes” or “We tried
to cut your taxes.” They don’t particularly want to
see abortion injected into the campaigns should the measure happen
to pass.
* There is little likelihood it can pass. It needs 120 votes. Republicans
have only 107. Bringing the bill to the floor could only produce
inflammatory headlines and scorecard votes - the same kind of votes
Republicans used to spring on Democrats when they were in the minority.
They remember that tactic all too well.
Some within the pro-life movement - including many who deal with
politics on a day-to-day basis - already understand the realities
of why HR 536 probably will remain in committee. Others likely won’t
understand at all.
Becker, very likely, is one. "If you've got a Giuliani running,
our base tends to sit at home. But if you've got an issue that can
bring them out, it's a mystery to me why the would oppose it."
That famous quote from Tyrone Brooks comes back to mind: “We
have no permanent friends and no permanent enemies. We only have
permanent interests.”
The coming months should tell us a lot about the Republican Party
and the religious right, both nationally and in Georgia.
Dick Pettys, editor of InsiderAdvantage Georgia, covered Georgia
government and politics for The Associated Press for 35 years. He
can be reached at 404 230 8930 or at dpettys@insideradvantage.com |