(5/2/07) InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion polling conducted April 30-May 1 shows Hillary Clinton with the strongest showing in Alabama that we’ve measured so far in any of the Southern states which are expected to participate in the advanced-date presidential preference primaries. The polling also showed significant strength there for former Sen. Fred Thompson should he enter the race.
We conducted two separate polls – each 500-sample telephone surveys of registered voters who identified themselves as likely to vote in either the Democratic or Republican presidential primary “if it were held today.” The surveys were then weighted for age, race, and gender. Each poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Democrats:
“Of the following potential candidates, if the primary were held today, which one candidate would you vote for?”
Clinton: 40%
Obama: 19%
Edwards: 18%
Biden: 5%
Dodd: 3%
Richardson: 3%
Undecided/ Don’t know: 12%
Republicans:
“Of the following potential candidates, if the primary were held today, which candidate would you vote for?
Giuliani: 21%
(Fred) Thompson: 19%
McCain: 15%
Gingrich: 14%
Romney: 5%
Brownback: 2%
Hunter: 2%
Gilmore: 2%
Huckabee: 2%
Paul: 0%
Undecided/Don’t know: 18%
InsiderAdvantage CEO and nationally syndicated columnist (Creators Syndicate) Matt Towery observes:
“This is the strongest showing for Clinton yet, and it is not really
so shocking. Alabama has had a bit more experience with top elected females
in the past and among females in the survey, Senator Clinton is 3 points above
the magical 40% level she needs to lead solidly in any given state.” He
continues: “As for the Republicans, you basically have two tiers of top
‘potential candidates.’ In Alabama, Giuliani replaces McCain who
usually is in the top tier in other states we poll. This is amazing for an unannounced
potential candidate. Then the second tier, fairly close behind, is McCain tied
with another unannounced potential candidate, Gingrich. This is clearly an unsettled
situation and it suggests real room for movement should an alternative to the
announced candidates enter the race. At present, the one most likely to attract
Alabama voters is Thompson.”